Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.029346 0.034883 0.040653 0.047076 0.053989 0.061170 0.069163
2026-01-25 0.020966 0.028727 0.037354 0.047472 0.058849 0.071110 0.085194
2026-02-01 0.015437 0.024265 0.034669 0.047404 0.062210 0.078586 0.097800
2026-02-08 0.010511 0.019470 0.030742 0.045150 0.062439 0.082011 0.105400
2026-02-15 0.007507 0.016478 0.028500 0.044461 0.064113 0.086770 0.114221
2026-02-22 0.005694 0.014736 0.027563 0.045135 0.067213 0.093020 0.124608
2026-03-01 0.004316 0.013328 0.026858 0.045936 0.070335 0.099194 0.134819
2026-03-08 0.003423 0.012500 0.026825 0.047507 0.074331 0.106346 0.146123
2026-03-15 0.002528 0.011410 0.026271 0.048286 0.077261 0.112165 0.155816
2026-03-22 0.002405 0.011837 0.027977 0.052112 0.084043 0.122633 0.171002
2026-03-29 0.001442 0.010092 0.026178 0.051023 0.084473 0.125336 0.176932
2026-04-05 0.000981 0.009309 0.025796 0.051835 0.087301 0.130926 0.186269
2026-04-12 0.000533 0.008278 0.024976 0.052088 0.089535 0.135974 0.195211
2026-04-19 0.000244 0.007416 0.024349 0.052584 0.092084 0.141435 0.204694
2026-04-26 0.000056 0.006451 0.023400 0.052523 0.093841 0.145874 0.212916
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004883 0.021023 0.050146 0.092364 0.146164 0.216017
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003985 0.019792 0.049418 0.093054 0.149136 0.222345
2026-05-17 NaN 0.003558 0.019498 0.050130 0.095701 0.154577 0.231688
2026-05-24 NaN 0.003203 0.019306 0.050975 0.098514 0.160221 0.241273
2026-05-31 NaN 0.003064 0.019616 0.052633 0.102460 0.167316 0.252650
2026-06-07 NaN 0.002754 0.019435 0.053454 0.105216 0.172872 0.262120
2026-06-14 NaN 0.003152 0.021162 0.057483 0.112520 0.184307 0.278883
2026-06-21 NaN 0.002453 0.019834 0.056337 0.112467 0.186222 0.283832